2 days ago

Where do prediction markets stand legally?

Prediction markets are moving from the fringe into the mainstream. They have been satirized on South Park , made founders wealthy through venture funding, and even triggered controversy after a Nobel Prize leak. The two leaders in the space are Kalshi, a regulated U.S. exchange that settles contracts in dollars, and Polymarket, a decentralized crypto -based platform built on Polygon . Together they saw record trading volume of $1.44 billion in September, with Kalshi pulling ahead at 60% share. As their visibility grows, the spotlight is turning to a key issue: are prediction markets legal, and where? To understand the legal debate, it’s worth first breaking down how prediction markets work. What are prediction markets? Simply put, a prediction market is a marketplace for bets on future events such as election outcomes, sports, weather patterns, or financial trends. People buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of real-world events. The prices shift dynamically with collective belief, and every trade is an incentive-driven bet on the future. For instance, take a market for “Will Team A win football match?” On the platform, each event works like a tug-of-war between two sides — YES and NO — whose combined value always equals $1. If you believe Team A will win, you buy the YES contract; if you believe the opposite, you pick NO. As traders react to new data, rumors, or intuition, the prices shift in real time. So, if a contract is trading at $0.80, it indicates that the market thinks the event has an 80% chance of occurring. You earn a $1 payout for your stake if your prediction comes true. Some prediction markets are off-chain, centralized, and regulated like Kalshi . Others are decentralized and run on blockchain, like Polymarket , giving them more flexibility but less regulatory control. So why do they matter? Because prediction markets aggregate new information, even outpacing traditional polls. With money on the line, guesses become predictions with more accurate insights. In many cases, these markets end up charting the future before anyone else can. Yet their similarity to gambling or speculative betting has made regulation tricky across jurisdictions. How different jurisdictions treat prediction markets United States The regulatory treatment of prediction markets in the U.S. depends on the platform’s operational model and compliance. Kalshi and Polymarket showcase how differently regulators treat these platforms. Kalshi, fully regulated under the CFTC as a Designated Contract Market, is allowed to offer legal event contracts across various topics under federal oversight. Meanwhile, its decentralized rival Polymarket has a bitter history with the regulators. It was fined $1.4 million in 2022 for allegedly offering illicit binary options contracts, forcing it to withdraw from U.S. users. In 2025, it reentered the market after acquiring QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange. The contrast between these rivals underscores the country’s regulatory stance: innovation is welcomed but only if it plays by the rules. United Kingdom and European Union Most EU countries treat prediction markets primarily as gambling grounds and have a fragmented regulatory approach. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom permits limited forms of prediction markets (Betfair-style betting exchanges) under the oversight of the UK Gambling Commission alongside stringent consumer protection rules. The legal grey zone, created by the regulatory ambiguity, limits institutional participation and the overall growth of these markets. Consequently, the UK and other EU countries like Belgium, France, and Poland have restricted the operations of prediction markets such as Polymarket, Kalshi, and others, citing violations of gambling regulations and international sanctions. APAC Countries Asia-Pacific countries tend to take a restrictive stance on prediction markets, often classifying them as gambling platforms. Licensed operations are rare or nearly impossible, and jurisdictions such as Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and Australia have mulled a ban on betting platforms Polymarket and Kalshi. Some experts argue that prediction markets should be seen as data infrastructures rather than merely speculative platforms. On the parallel side, regulation either forces platforms into centralized models or drives them completely offshore, limiting wider adoption. The coming years, and how regulators choose to classify them, will decide whether prediction markets remain niche tools or evolve into mainstream financial infrastructure. The post Where do prediction markets stand legally? appeared first on Finbold .

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Here`s When to Expect the SEA Token as OpenSea Trading Volume Spikes

NFT marketplace and token trading platform OpenSea will launch its SEA token in Q1 2026, with 50% allocated for its community of users. Finbold

$Market momentum is teetering between chaos and opportunity. Across global markets, traders are navigating volatility that feels less like analysis and more like survival — a fast-paced ride with the driver blindfolded and the speedometer stuck at 100 miles per hour. From fiscal gridlock in Washington to rising geopolitical tension between China and Russia over Ukraine, uncertainty has once again become the market’s dominant theme. But amid the turbulence, one crypto asset — XRP — is quietly forming a structure that seasoned traders say could dictate its next explosive move. Egrag Crypto’s Take: XRP Capturing the Liquidity Prominent technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes XRP is entering a decisive “liquidity grab” phase . Drawing from the Gemini XRP/USD chart, which he calls the cleanest view of XRP’s true market structure, Egrag notes that the current move is “just filling in the wick”, a normal behavior during liquidity capture. According to him, many exchanges show distorted patterns due to thin order books and irregular volume profiles, but Gemini’s data provides a more accurate read of the unfolding breakout. #XRP : Capturing the Liquidity! I`m utilizing the #Gemini chart because it aligns perfectly with the breakout structure I mentioned earlier. check out my previous post here: https://t.co/5A9dJAPC8r #XRP Just filling in the Wick, this is the nature of Liquidity grabbing… pic.twitter.com/JHHZYM8xGb — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 17, 2025 He explains that XRP’s recent wick-fill reflects the classic nature of liquidity grabs — sweeping stop-losses, reclaiming zones of imbalance, and setting the stage for directional momentum. On Gemini, XRP has been consolidating within a tight range between $2.30 and $2.60, an area Egrag believes represents the final wick-fill before a potential breakout continuation. Macro Headwinds: A Market Running Blind Egrag’s market analogy — a bus driven blindfolded at 100 mph — captures the sense of instability gripping global markets. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown , coupled with the China-Russia-Ukraine standoff, has fractured investor confidence and muted institutional flows. The absence of macro clarity is steering capital toward safe-haven assets like gold, which recently posted its strongest 40-day rally in years. Egrag warns that this dynamic could shift abruptly once quantitative easing (QE) returns and U.S.-China relations stabilize, setting the stage for a dramatic resurgence in risk-on assets like XRP and equities. “Markets thrive on certainty,” he says, “and that’s what’s missing right now.” We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Gold, Risk Assets, and the Final Leg of the Cycle Egrag also draws a striking parallel between gold’s performance and what he expects next from cryptocurrencies. “Have you noticed how gold has been acting like a meme coin, pumping for the last 40 days?” he asks. In his view, this mirrors the speculative enthusiasm that could soon flood back into crypto markets once macro tensions ease. He’s currently rotating capital — selling portions of his gold holdings to rebuy at lower levels — while positioning for what he calls “the last leg of risk-on assets.” For traders, the message is clear: the interplay between liquidity grabs, macro policy shifts, and sentiment reversals could make XRP one of the most technically charged assets in the coming weeks. The Bottom Line Egrag Crypto’s analysis underlines a simple truth — in volatile markets, liquidity is both the weapon and the prize. XRP’s ongoing consolidation could be the calm before an explosive move , as liquidity pools reset and risk appetite prepares to shift. Whether the next chapter brings parabolic growth or another shakeout, one thing is certain: XRP’s liquidity capture phase has traders watching every wick. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post XRP Breakout Alert: Inside Egrag Crypto’s Liquidity Grab Analysis appeared first on Times Tabloid .$

XRP Breakout Alert: Inside Egrag Crypto’s Liquidity Grab Analysis

Market momentum is teetering between chaos and opportunity. Across global markets, traders are navigating volatility that feels less like analysis and more like survival — a fast-paced ride with the driver blindfolded and the speedometer stuck at 100 miles per hour. From fiscal gridlock in Washington to rising geopolitical tension between China and Russia over Ukraine, uncertainty has once again become the market’s dominant theme. But amid the turbulence, one crypto asset — XRP — is quietly forming a structure that seasoned traders say could dictate its next explosive move. Egrag Crypto’s Take: XRP Capturing the Liquidity Prominent technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes XRP is entering a decisive “liquidity grab” phase . Drawing from the Gemini XRP/USD chart, which he calls the cleanest view of XRP’s true market structure, Egrag notes that the current move is “just filling in the wick”, a normal behavior during liquidity capture. According to him, many exchanges show distorted patterns due to thin order books and irregular volume profiles, but Gemini’s data provides a more accurate read of the unfolding breakout. #XRP : Capturing the Liquidity! I`m utilizing the #Gemini chart because it aligns perfectly with the breakout structure I mentioned earlier. check out my previous post here: https://t.co/5A9dJAPC8r #XRP Just filling in the Wick, this is the nature of Liquidity grabbing… pic.twitter.com/JHHZYM8xGb — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 17, 2025 He explains that XRP’s recent wick-fill reflects the classic nature of liquidity grabs — sweeping stop-losses, reclaiming zones of imbalance, and setting the stage for directional momentum. On Gemini, XRP has been consolidating within a tight range between $2.30 and $2.60, an area Egrag believes represents the final wick-fill before a potential breakout continuation. Macro Headwinds: A Market Running Blind Egrag’s market analogy — a bus driven blindfolded at 100 mph — captures the sense of instability gripping global markets. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown , coupled with the China-Russia-Ukraine standoff, has fractured investor confidence and muted institutional flows. The absence of macro clarity is steering capital toward safe-haven assets like gold, which recently posted its strongest 40-day rally in years. Egrag warns that this dynamic could shift abruptly once quantitative easing (QE) returns and U.S.-China relations stabilize, setting the stage for a dramatic resurgence in risk-on assets like XRP and equities. “Markets thrive on certainty,” he says, “and that’s what’s missing right now.” We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Gold, Risk Assets, and the Final Leg of the Cycle Egrag also draws a striking parallel between gold’s performance and what he expects next from cryptocurrencies. “Have you noticed how gold has been acting like a meme coin, pumping for the last 40 days?” he asks. In his view, this mirrors the speculative enthusiasm that could soon flood back into crypto markets once macro tensions ease. He’s currently rotating capital — selling portions of his gold holdings to rebuy at lower levels — while positioning for what he calls “the last leg of risk-on assets.” For traders, the message is clear: the interplay between liquidity grabs, macro policy shifts, and sentiment reversals could make XRP one of the most technically charged assets in the coming weeks. The Bottom Line Egrag Crypto’s analysis underlines a simple truth — in volatile markets, liquidity is both the weapon and the prize. XRP’s ongoing consolidation could be the calm before an explosive move , as liquidity pools reset and risk appetite prepares to shift. Whether the next chapter brings parabolic growth or another shakeout, one thing is certain: XRP’s liquidity capture phase has traders watching every wick. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post XRP Breakout Alert: Inside Egrag Crypto’s Liquidity Grab Analysis appeared first on Times Tabloid . Finbold